Tuesday, 11 December, 2018

Terrifying climate change warning: 12 years until we’re doomed

Protest An activist is arrested at the German Embassy in London yesterday in a protest against coal Protest An activist is arrested at the German Embassy in London yesterday in a protest against coal
Cary Marshall | 10 October, 2018, 03:32

Chris Mooney, covers climate change, energy and the environment for the Washington Post.

Instead, Trump has advocated for more coal energy and loosened regulations on vehicle emissions. A key question in the months preceding the report's release was whether the formidable target is still feasible at all. But if warming stops at 2 degrees, more than 99% of reefs could disappear.

The Paris Agreement adopted by 195 nations at the 21st Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC in December 2015 included the aim of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change by "holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre- industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels".

At 1.5 degrees, the authors predict the Arctic Ocean will be free of sea ice once per century.

"Twenty-40% of the global human population live in regions that, by the decade 2006-2015, had already experienced warming of more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial in at least one season". So far, Prime Minister Scott Morrison has said that he's "not going to spend money on global climate conferences and all that nonsense", while Deputy PM Michael McCormack described the landmark United Nations warning as "some sort of report" and said Australia will "absolutely" keep relying on coal-fired power.

It's a higher budget, though, than would be expected based on the methods used in the previous IPCC assessment report-akin to resetting the doomsday clock to "five minutes to midnight", according to Oliver Geden, a climate researcher at the German Institute for global and Security Affairs.

An increase of 1.5C will still carry climate-related risks for nature and mankind, but at a lower level than a rise of 2C, the report summary said. In the aggregate they are larger if global warming exceeds 1.5 degrees C. Some impacts may be long-lasting or irreversible, such as the loss of some ecosystems. And I want to look at who drew it. He likened the report to an academic exercise wondering what would happen if a frog had wings.

Working Group I assessed the physical science basis of climate change; Working Group II addressed impacts, adaptation and vulnerability; and Working Group III dealt with the mitigation of climate change.

Society would have to enact "unprecedented" changes to how it consumes energy, travels and builds to meet a lower global warming target or it risks increases in heat waves, flood-causing storms and the chances of drought in some regions as well as the loss of species, a United Nations report said on Monday.

More news: Royal rewear: Duchess Kate steps out in recycled Emilia Wickstead dress

"We have a monumental task in front of us, but it is not impossible", Mahowald said earlier.

The signatories of the Paris Agreement would have to make sweeping changes to everything from industry and building, to land use, how cities run, and, of course, how we produce energy.

By 2050, humanity would need to cut its net emissions to zero. By 2050, emissions will need to be reduced by 100 percent.

"And now more than ever we know that every bit of warming matters", Krug added. As many as 10 million fewer people would be exposed to risks like flooding.

Coral and other ecosystems are also at risk.

At the same time, however, the Liberals are supporting major projects that will increase Canada's capacity to export oil and gas for decades, including expansion of the Trans Mountain crude pipeline and construction of a liquefied natural gas terminal in Kitimat, B.C.

The outcome will determine whether "my grandchildren would get to see lovely coral reefs", Princeton's Oppenheimer said.

"It will take government resolve", he said.

Taalas suggests several actions governments and individuals can take to lower the world's temperature.

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